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7/23/8  More reasons why the Trinity Tollroad is doomed.

I enjoyed Sam Merten's article About the Trinity Parkway, Don't Hold Your Breath. Not Yet, Anyway.  How the Trinity Tollroad keeps getting delayed.   This project is doomed.
 
With the rising cost of gasoline over the past year, the chances of this project ever being built are even slimmer.   This project is based on ever increasing traffic volume; however, this year overall traffic volume is down across Texas and the nation.  This lower volume means less revenue for TXDOT and the federal government.   Both agencies are already short of funds to build all the roads they want over the next few decades.
 
Therefore, I predict that gasoline taxes will be increased next year at both the state and federal level.  Plus, there will probably be some form of carbon tax passed next year that drives up the cost of gasoline even further.   Higher prices means less driving (basic economics).   While revenue is down, the cost of building and maintaining roads has skyrocketed.
 
This creates a dilemma which will mean even more toll roads in the future of all drivers in the US.   As the demand for toll roads increases, there will be a greater need to sell bonds. 

If you are an investor, you look for the best deal.   Would you invest in a tollroad that is subject to flooding?  I don't think so.
 
Bottom line, if there is an honest revenue study of the Trinity Tollroad, it won't be able to fund itself and the costs will be too high even for NTTA to fund.
 
Stan Aten

                                        

    





                            

 

  Ward politics is the Devil's key to the soul of the city council.  It is how some council members got themselves in trouble in the past.  It is the bait that will get others in trouble in the future. 4/6/8